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June 18,The Electric Power Planning and Design Institute held a press conference for the "China Electric Power Development Report 2018" (hereinafter referred to as the "Report") in Beijing。"Report" prediction,Under the premise of full delivery of transmission channels that have been clearly across provinces,If you do not consider increasing the power supply in time,The electricity supply and demand situation in most provinces and regions across the country will become increasingly tight in the next three years。Among them,16 provinces across the country need to increase power supply,Start the preliminary work of a batch of thermal power projects in a timely manner。East China、Regions such as central China and southern China need to further expand the scale of incoming electricity。

The "Report" pointed out,2019-2021,The national electricity supply and demand situation will become increasingly tight。Only consider power supplies that are currently available for production,On the premise that cross-provincial power flow arrangements can be implemented,Hebei、Jiangsu、Zhejiang、Anhui、Henan、Hubei、Hunan、Jiangxi、Shaanxi、Guangdong、Guangxi、Hainan’s power supply and demand will continue to be tight or tense in the next three years。Liaoning、Inner Mongolia、Shandong、Shanghai、Fujian、Sichuan、Chongqing、Gansu、Xinjiang、seabet online sports bettingYunnan、seabet betting platformGuizhou’s electricity supply and demand will gradually change from loose or basically balanced to tight or tight in the next three years;Heilongjiang、Jilin、Beijing、Tianjin、Shanxi、Ningxia、Qinghai、Tibet’s electricity supply and demand are relatively loose。

"Report" display,Next three years,High-tech industries and high-end manufacturing will drive the continued rigid growth of electricity consumption in the secondary industry,The rapid development of the service industry drives the tertiary industry and residential electricity consumption will continue to grow rapidly。2019,Electricity consumption in the whole society increased by 5% year-on-year.6%,Power consumption reaches 7.3 trillion kilowatt hours;2020,Electricity consumption in the whole society increased by 5% year-on-year.0%,Power consumption reaches 7.6 trillion kilowatt hours;2021,Electricity consumption in the whole society increased by 4% year-on-year.7%,Power consumption reaches 8.0 trillion kilowatt hours。

The "Report" pointed out,Vigorously developing new energy is still the focus of energy supply-side reform。New energy consumption and utilization will become the key to guide the optimization of development layout。Next three years,The national new energy consumption space is about 3.500 million kilowatts,The "Three North" areas still have great development potential,New energy consumption space is about 100 million kilowatts。With Inner Mongolia、Gansu、Electricity consumption in Xinjiang and other regions continues to grow rapidly,The red and orange warning is expected to be lifted in the next three years,There is still potential for large-scale development in accordance with the requirements for affordable Internet access。

With the introduction seabet online sports bettingof the “Renewable Energy Power Consumption Responsibility Weight” policy (“Quota System”),The urgency of new energy development in the central and eastern regions continues to enhance;With the "distributed power generation trading transaction" policy introduced,Estimated distributed wind power in the eastern region in the next three years、Distributed photovoltaics will develop rapidly。Under the existing peak shaving capacity and grid conditions,The offshore wind power consumption space in the next three years is about 19 million kilowatts。

The "Report" also pointed out,The scale of southwestern hydropower transmission will continue to increase。Southwest Hydropower will also add more than 30 million kilowatts of inter-provincial and inter-regional allocation capacity。

In terms of power transmission channels,The "Report" pointed out,The utilization rate of inter-provincial power transmission channels needs to be improved。On the one hand,To speed up Ningdong-Zhejiang、Zhundong-Anhui、Shanghai Temple-Shandong、Northern Shanxi-Jiangsu、Western Meng-Tianjin South、Yuheng-Weifang、Ximeng-Shandong and other transmission channel supporting power supply construction progress。On the other hand,It is necessary to strengthen the construction of the receiving end network frame,Zhangjiuquan-Hunan、Power transmission capacity of Hami-Zhengzhou transmission channel。Also,We must speed up the improvement of market-oriented pricing mechanism,Increase the power transmission scale of the Zalut-Qingzhou transmission channel as soon as possible。It is expected that the scale of cross-provincial power transmission in my country will reach approximately 2 in 2021.900 million kilowatts。

In terms of electric modification,seabet loginProposed by the "Report",The electricity market reform needs to be further accelerated and expanded。Barriers to market-based electricity transactions still exist,There is an urgent need to establish a cross-provincial trading mechanism based on the physical connection of the power grid,Break down trade barriers between provinces or regions;The top-level design of the spot market has been introduced,However, the electricity spot trading system still needs to be further improved,The electricity spot trading simulation verification system needs to be established urgently;Initial establishment of incremental distribution network assessment mechanism,The preparation of relevant planning and design standards has been started,But currently only 48 business licenses have been issued out of 320 incremental distribution network projects,The status of the main body of the large-scale incremental distribution network business needs to be clarified urgently。

         

Information source: China Energy News






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